While Arrowfield Stud's Snitzel looks certain to become Australia's Champion Sire for the third straight year, the battle between he and Yarraman Park's I Am Invincible for the honour of being Australia's Champion Sire of 2-year-olds looks to go down to the wire.
I Am Invincible may have set a new record for Australian stakes winners in a season last weekend, but the weight of Redzel's (Snitzel) second consecutive win in The Everest sees Snitzel with a near $7 million lead on his rival in the standings which determine Australia's Champion Sire.
The closeness between them is indicated by the fact that as of May 15, Snitzel had had two additional winners (161 to 159) and they have the same amount of total wins (244).
Snitzel
The battle for supremacy among their respective 2-year-olds crops is even closer, with Snitzel having one additional winner (18 to 17) while total wins are tied on 22. I Am Invincible holds sway on 2-year-old stakes winners, seven to three, and accordingly leads the overall 2-year-old race, determined by prizemoney, but by just a tick under $100,000 - $2.8m to $2.7m.
'Vinny' has established that lead on the weight of consistent performers, with his leading 2-year-old earner the filly Loving Gaby, who through one Listed win and a couple of seconds in Group 1s, has compiled just over $580,750.
Magic Millions 2YO Classic winner Exhilarates has been Snitzel's 2-year-old flagbearer this season, with the Godolphin filly clocking up $1.37m worth of prizemoney across her seven starts.
It's an amazingly tight battle between the two super sires which will likely be fought out both via the weight of metropolitan 2-year-old races as well as feature races upcoming in Brisbane.
The decisive race may prove to be the final 2-year-old Group 1 of the season, the JJ Atkins S. to be run at Eagle Farm on June 8, which is worth $600,000, including $360,000 to the winner.
Chris Waller is looking for his fourth win in the JJ Atkins, including The Autumn Sun (Redoute's Choice) last year, and holds a major hand in early markets. The ruling favourite is his Snitzel colt Reloaded, who like The Autumn Sun won on debut on ANZAC Day.
Loving Gaby is I Am Invinicble's leading 2YO earner
Reloaded looks likely to fly the flag for his sire in both the JJ Atkins and the traditional lead-up, the G2 BRC Sires' Produce S, which is worth $400,000, including $232,000 for the winner, at Eagle Farm on Saturday week.
Reloaded is one of six of Snitzel's 2-year-old crop among the 163 early nominations for the JJ Atkins, while I Am Invincible has eight.
I Am Invincible's best hope, according to the early markets, is the John O'Shea colt Twentyfour Carat, who was sixth behind Reloaded in that ANZAC Day race at Randwick, although beaten just 1.6l, and subsequently ran fourth in a Canterbury maiden last week.
Record depth of 2-year-old sires
It’s not necessarily just a two-stallion race for the 2YO Championship with Darley pair Exceed And Excel and Lonhro also theoretically within striking distance. Exceed And Excel, through a significant contribution from Group 1 winner Microphone ($1.59m), is around $560,000 behind I Am Invincible, while Lonhro has enjoyed his most lucrative 2-year-old season since Pierro's Triple Crown winning year, with his progeny winning $2.06m ($790,000 off the lead), thanks to a big help from his G1 Blue Diamond S. winning filly Lyre.
Lonhro is enjoying his most lucrative 2YO season since Pierro won the 2YO Triple Crown
Darley stallion, Sidestep, sits above them in third place, on $2.46m, but with a huge chunk of that coming from G1 Golden Slipper S. winner Kiamichi, who is in the paddock, he is unlikely to be able to get the $400,000 to bridge the gap on the top two.
He will, however, easily capture the first-season sire title, a terrific achievement for a stallion who stood his first season at Darley for $11,000 (inc GST), was just $7700 in his first season at Queensland's Telemon Throughbreds last year and still looks value at $22,000 in 2019.
The depth of first-season sires this season, plus the terrific state of Australian prizemoney, is evidenced by the fact that for the first-time ever, there are five freshmen whose progeny have earned over $1 million.
Sidestep is joined by Better Than Ready, Brazen Beau, Rubick and Deep Field in the millionaires' club and there is still two and half months of the season remaining.
Sidestep is currently leading the First Season Sires Premiership
That quintet is part of a record 12 stallions whose progeny have earned over $1m this year. Along with the ones already mentioned, there is also Arrowfield pair Dundeel (NZ) and Not A Single Doubt and Coolmore's Fastnet Rock.